Not much change in the latest update with 00z models remaining in very good agreement for an upper Texas coast landfall Tuesday. There has been little change in the overall strength of the system but conditions should become more favorable for strengthening to occur over the next 24 hours and a Hurricane Watch has been issued for the Texas coast from Port O'Connor to Intercoastal City, LA which means Hurricane conditions are possible within in the next 36 hours.
Interestingly enough the BAMS model, which managed to correctly forecast the movement of Hurricane Rita back in 2005 continues to bring the system into or just south of Galveston Tuesday afternoon, so it will be interesting to watch is performance over the course of the next few days.
Sunday, August 3, 2008
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