This will be something to watch closely to see if a further shift up the coast occurs through the night. If this trend were to continue, we would likely see much less of an impact here in Houston since the storm remains rather small and unorganized with all of the convection on the north and east side of the system. Also note that the advisory has no 60 mph wind west of the center at landfall, only in the NE quadrant in the heavy squalls. Barely TS wind in SW-NW part of storm, if that. So, it is possible that Houston might only see an inch or two of rain as Edouard moves inland and we will have to wait until his circulation moves northwest of the city in order to see some feeder bands set up and possibly give us some more substantial rainfall. Again, this is assuming the storm doesn't start to produce more significant convection around the western side of the circulation. The latest radar and satellite imagery does show a flare up of storms on the northern side which is trying to wrap around to the west.
Here is the latest public advisory from the NHC and I will post the latest Hurricane Local Statement from the National Weather Service when it becomes available around 11pm.
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008
1000 PM CDT MON AUG 04 2008
...EDOUARD STRENGTHENS AND TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
EAST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE WESTWARD
TO PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA TO PORT O'CONNOR.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES...170 KM...SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 160 MILES...
260 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE
UPPER TEXAS OR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS BY MIDDAY TUESDAY.
REPORTS FROM COASTAL DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE COASTLINE DURING
THE DAY TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER. SEVERAL ELEVATED OIL RIGS SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA
COAST HAVE BEEN REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH DURING
THE PAST FEW HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES IN SOME LOUISIANA COASTAL PARISHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...28.7 N...92.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
10pm NHC Track
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